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Category Archives: Deficit Spending

Debt-Based Monetary System Demands Ever More Debt—Part IV—“Why”?


Thinker2

BUT WHYYYYY?!

In the first three “Parts” of this article (#1 More Debt, #2 Ponzi Schemes, & #3 Fractional Reserve Banking), I explored and advanced an hypothesis concerning America’s National Debt. I argued that our National Debt isn’t growing due to accident or governmental incompetence. Instead, I argued that that our seemingly uncontrollable National Debt (it nearly doubled under the Obama administration) grows out of a mathematical necessity that’s somehow caused by our Debt-Based Monetary System (DBMS).

In essence, I believe that our DBMS forces our National Debt to grow as a necessity and requirement. The the DBMS will die if it’s not constantly fed an growing stream of debt. If the DBMS dies, it will kill our debt-based economy.

More, I suspect that the debt must not only grow, but must grow “geometrically” or, at least, it must grow faster than the economy. If that’s true, it’s the the kiss of death for the DBMS and our debt-based economy.

Our DBMS (Debt-Based Monetary System) doesn’t simply make more debt possible, it makes more debt necessary. If we fail or refuse to go deeper into debt, our DBMS and economy will collapse into chaos.

If my hypothesis is roughly correct, it means that any promise by the Republican Party or President Trump to eliminate deficit spending and/or reduce the National Debt from $20 trillion to, say, $19 trillion—is not only false, but potentially dangerous. If they succeed in significantly reducing the National Debt, I believe that reduction could cause our debt-based economy to collapse.

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Debt-Based Monetary System Demands Ever More Debt—Part II—Ponzi Schemes?


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Is our Debt-Based Monetary System a Ponzi Scheme?  [Courtesy Google Images]

Recently, in Part I of this series, I promised that in Part II, I’d explain “why” the survival of our debt-based monetary system (DBMS) depends on the creation of ever more debt. I argued that our massive National Debt is not an accident or evidence of political malfeasance, but rather an intentional and necessary consequence of accepting our debt-based monetary system (DBMS). I argued that our DBMS can’t survive without going ever deeper into debt.

I compared “payments” (which are tangible, real assets like gold or silver coins) to “promises to pay” (which are intangible, paper debt-instruments like paper dollars). I warned that, given the choice between receiving a tangible “payment” and an intangible “promise to pay,” only a fool would take the paper “promises to pay”.

I illustrated my argument about “promises to pay” by reminding readers of how many times they had made or received promises that had failed. My point was that promises are easily made and routinely broken.

So, I suppose it should come as no surprise that my promise to use this week’s article to explain the “why” behind the debt-based monetary scheme will also be broken. I began to write this second article with some background on “Ponzi Schemes” (which is how I and others frequently describe our DBMS).  But, when I looked into “Ponzi Schemes,” I discovered that maybe that’s not the most accurate way to describe our DBMS. I also realized that maybe I should try to discern and describe the nature of our DBMS before I got into the “why”.

Result? Here, in Part II of this series of articles we’re going to explore whether our DBMS is really a “Ponzi Scheme” or if it’s something else. Then, in Part III (coming soon) I’ll present my notions concerning the fundamental “why”.

I promise.

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Debt-Based Monetary System Demands Ever More Debt—Part I


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The National Debt was basically flat from A.D. 1900 through A.D. 1971. In A.D. 1971, President Nixon closed the “gold window” and the dollar became a pure fiat/debt-based currency.  Since A.D. 1971, the National Debt has persistently increased, without regard to which political party controls the government.  I strongly suspect that a debt-based monetary system cannot survive without government creating more debt.  Once the dollar was debt-based, the National Debt had to increase.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently released a 55-page report on the “long-term US budget outlook”. The report implied that the US government is on the road to fiscal chaos and possible collapse that could not be sustained beyond A.D. 2047.

I think the CBO is lying about the “long-term” budget outlook. Instead, I think we’ve only got a “short-term” to go before the debt hits the fan.

According to the report, the “official” National Debt ($20 trillion) currently stands at the highest level since shortly after World War II. (The report did not comment on estimates by others that, including unfunded liabilities, the real National Debt may be closer to $100 trillion or even $200 trillion.)  According to the report, if government maintains current policies and economic trends continue, the debt will likely double over the next 30 years, rising to about 150% of GDP.

I see the CBO’s predictions and “warnings” as bunk, bunk, and, uh, bunk.

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“Reset” Coming? What’s a “Reset”?


[courtesy Google Images]

[courtesy Google Images]

Greg Hunter (USAwatchdog.com) recently interviewed Rob Kirby (Kirby Analytics) in a 30-minute video. During the interview, Kirby predicted a coming economic and/or monetary “reset”.

According to Kirby,

“Today, we see China, Russia, India and others are moving to protect themselves from the systemic risk of the over-printed dollar. It’s become clear to many that the dollar’s world-reserve-currency status cannot last. It’s just a matter of time before the entire currency system will face a radical reset reflecting today’s reality.”

A “radical reset” is coming. Sounds kinda scary. But, what, exactly, is a “reset”?

Kirby continued:

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Economics: Mostly Math or Mostly Moral?


Institutionalized Injustice:  Fighting Over Unearned Wealth [courtesy Google Images]

Institutionalized Injustice: Fighting Over Unearned Wealth
[courtesy Google Images]

Financial Times:

 

“On Friday [Nov. 6, A.D. 2015] the Bank of Japan [BoJ] revised down its inflation and growth forecasts, and pushed back its expectation of hitting the 2 per cent inflation target to the end of next year. It seems likely, and indeed desirable, that the BoJ will be forced to expand its programme of quantitative easing [QE] before too long.”

QE is intended to cause more borrowing, more spending and more inflation in whichever country/economy that promotes it.  In the case of Japan, continued reliance on QE is strange since they’ve tried to use some version of QE for most of 25 years without much success.

Why does Japan continue to beat that dead horse?  Could it be because that’s the only horse they have?  Financial Times:

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How The Federal Debt Limit Works


Federal Debt vs Receipts graph

Image via Wikipedia

Simplified. I love analogies.

video 00:03:09

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Li0no7O9zmE&feature=player_embedded

 
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Posted by on January 3, 2012 in Debt, Deficit Spending, Video, What Can't be Paid

 

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The War Between the Credit-worthy and the Credit-unworthy


Credit Card

Image by 401K via Flickr

•  By definition, the only legitimate way a debt-based currency gets into an economy is by lending it.  This lending doesn’t take place just once.  Primary lenders lend to secondary lenders who lend to tertiary lenders, etc..  I.e., the Federal Reserve System lends currency to the Federal Reserve Banks which lend that currency to private banks which lend it to their customers.  The chain of lenders and borrowers can be lengthy and complex.

It’s always possible for people at the bottom of the lender-borrower “pecking order” to acquire currency without actually borrowing it.  For example, they can work for it.  However, for those who have no credit in a debt-based monetary system, their access to currency will be so restricted that they’ll probably live in or near poverty.

 

•  The plight of the credit-unworthy illustrates a fundamental problem with any debt-based monetary system.  By definition, you can’t lend currency to the credit-unworthy and expect to be repaid.  For proof, witness the sub-prime mortgage debacle of the past decade.  Some seemingly smart people lent currency to the credit-unworthy and apparently expected to be repaid.  They fought economic reality and reality won.  The result was a credit collapse in A.D.2008 that nearly caused a global depression—and may yet do so.

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