RSS

Category Archives: US Dollar

Debt-Based Monetary System Demands Ever More Debt—Part I


Debt9

The National Debt was basically flat from A.D. 1900 through A.D. 1971. In A.D. 1971, President Nixon closed the “gold window” and the dollar became a pure fiat/debt-based currency.  Since A.D. 1971, the National Debt has persistently increased, without regard to which political party controls the government.  I strongly suspect that a debt-based monetary system cannot survive without government creating more debt.  Once the dollar was debt-based, the National Debt had to increase.

The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) recently released a 55-page report on the “long-term US budget outlook”. The report implied that the US government is on the road to fiscal chaos and possible collapse that could not be sustained beyond A.D. 2047.

I think the CBO is lying about the “long-term” budget outlook. Instead, I think we’ve only got a “short-term” to go before the debt hits the fan.

According to the report, the “official” National Debt ($20 trillion) currently stands at the highest level since shortly after World War II. (The report did not comment on estimates by others that, including unfunded liabilities, the real National Debt may be closer to $100 trillion or even $200 trillion.)  According to the report, if government maintains current policies and economic trends continue, the debt will likely double over the next 30 years, rising to about 150% of GDP.

I see the CBO’s predictions and “warnings” as bunk, bunk, and, uh, bunk.

Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , ,

What Can’t Be Paid, Won’t Be Paid


National Debt Creditors About to Lose their Assets [courtesy Google Image]

National Debt Creditors About to Lose their Assets
[courtesy Google Image]

I’ve argued for five years that the U.S. National Debt is too great to ever be repaid in full, or even by half.  My personal guesstimate is that at least 80%–and probably 90%–of the National Debt will inevitably be repudiated.  That repudiation will take the form of hyperinflation, express repudiation (“Sorry, boys–but we’re too broke to pay that debt.”), or perhaps even WWIII (a good war could wipe out virtually all memory and enforce-ability of the National Debt.).

Here’s a graphic that illustrates my argument.  If you take a few minutes to view the graphic, you’ll see the size of the U.S. National Debt is:

.

1. Larger than the 500 largest public companies in America;

2. Larger than all assets managed by the world’s top seven money managers;

3.  25X larger than all global oil exports in 2015;

4. 155x larger than all gold mined globally in a year; and, my personal favorite:

5. Larger than all of the world’s physical currency, gold, silver, and bitcoin combined.
In other words, there’s not enough actual money and currency in the world to repay the U.S. National Debt.
Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , , , , ,

Foreign Currency Inflation Causes U.S. Dollar Deflation


Dangerous Deflation is Death to Debtors [courtesy Google Images]

Dangerous Deflation is Death to Debtors
[courtesy Google Images]

Forbes magazine recently published “Egypt Is About To Slash The Value Of Its Currency To Revive Its Flagging Economy”. According to Forbes,

.

Egypt’s Finance Minister Amr El Garhy has said his country needs to move faster in dealing with its currency woes, opening up the possibility of a large and rapid devaluation of the Egyptian pound.”

.

Big deal. Egypt is devaluing (inflating) the Egyptian pound. Who cares, right?

Q:  What’s the value of the Egyptian pound have to do with the U.S. dollar and U.S. economy?

A:  Actually, more than you might suspect.

. Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , , ,

Teeter-Totter Relationship Between U.S.$ and Foreign Currencies


USDX [courtesy Google Images]

USDX
[courtesy Google Images]

The “Group of 20” (G20) includes the world’s 20 biggest industrial and emerging economies. G20 finance ministers and central bank chiefs met in China on Saturday and Sunday (July 23-24, A.D. 2016).

According to the AFP (“US Warns Against Devaluation Ahead of G20 Finance Meeting”), on the Thursday before this G20 meeting:

..

US Treasury Secretary Jacob Lew said that top economies should refrain from competitive currency devaluations–a message likely directed at China.

According to Secretary Lew, “The global outlook . . . underscores our focus on the commitment made at the last G20 in Shanghai to consult closely with one another on [currency] exchange rate policy, and to refrain from competitive devaluation.”

.

First, the term “competitive currency devaluations” is misleading insofar as “competitive” signals something civil like a genteel, after-dinner game of Whist in the parlor. In fact, these “competitive currency devaluations” are almost as potentially serious and lethal as nuclear war.

(More, it’s conceivable that China’s “competitive currency devaluations” just might be enough to trigger naval conflict between China and the U.S. or even Japan in the South China Sea.)

Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , , , ,

Alasdair MacLeod interviewed on Greg Hunter


James Bond's "Q" presents his latest weaponized pen. [courtesy Google Images]

James Bond’s “Q” presents his latest weaponized pen.
[courtesy Google Images]

You may remember the fictional character “Q” in the old James Bond films.  “Q” was the head of Q Branch–the fictional research and development division of the British Secret Service that devised all of those incredible gadgets for spies.  His speech was so articulate that he was almost a parody of intelligent Englishmen.  “Q” was “veddy British”.

Unlike “Q,” Alasdair MacLeod not a fictional character.  He’s a writer, pundit, and student of global economics.

However, like “Q,” Alasdair  is “veddy British,” “veddy articulate,” and “veddy intelligent”.  In fact, he could play “Q” in the modern James Bond films.

Alasdair MacLeod has an extraordinary, almost encyclopedic grasp of global economics and politics. Every time Greg Hunter asked a question, Alasdair had an automatic, articulate, and often concise answer.  He’s a brilliant communicator.

If you want to hear a classical Englishman speak who has “connected the dots” in global economics, this interview is for you.

video      00:37:01

 

Tags: , , , , ,

Currency War’s Prize: Privilege to Print “World Reserve Currency”?


Dali: a surrealist artist for a surreal currency [courtesy Google Images]

Salvador Dali: a surrealist artist for a surreal currency
[courtesy Google Images]

Salvador Dali (1904-1989) was one of the world’s premier surrealist artists.  During his peak popularity he enjoyed a peculiar privilege: Whenever he wrote a check, he embellished the check with so many distinctive flourishes and artwork, that many people refused to cash his checks. 

Why?  Because they believed his check (an intrinsically worthless piece of paper) was—as a work of art signed by the Dali—worth more than the face value of the check. 

Result?  Dali frequently didn’t have to actually pay for many of the goods and services he purchased by check with a deduction from his bank account.  Dali could buy dinner or a new pair of tools and discharge his debt with nothing more than a few doodles.

Dali was essentially printing his own fiat currency (an intrinsically worthless piece of paper just like a US fiat dollar).  His celebrity allowed him to use that “currency” to discharge his debts without redeeming that currency at Dali’s bank.

In that regard, Dali was able to emulate the US government’s ability to issue fiat dollars (the World Reserve Currency) and never have to actually redeem the fiat dollar. 

I.e, whoever prints the world reserve currency doesn’t have to actually pay his bills.  At least not for a couple of generations.

Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , , , ,

Current Currency Wars


World Reserve Currency Teeter-Totter-- if they go up, we go down

World Reserve Currency Teeter-Totter–
if they go up (inflate), we go down (deflate)

In “Currency Battle Is Tethered to Obama Trade Agenda,” The New York Times recently offered some bases for insight and conjecture concerning currency:

 

 

“A number of countries — China most prominent among them — have long acted to hold down the value of their currencies against the dollar, helping their industries by keeping exports to American consumers cheaper and making goods from the United States more expensive.”

 

Since the fiat dollar is still the World Reserve Currency, there’s a teeter-totter relationship between US dollars and the rest of the world’s major fiat currencies.  When foreign countries hold their currencies down in relation to the dollar, they hold the dollar up. That is, by inflating foreign currencies they make the dollar more valuable and thereby contribute to dollar deflation.

Read the rest of this entry »

 

Tags: , ,